2019 NCAA Hockey Playoff Preview
With the teams set for the NCAA tournament, Elo can be used to make predictions on how each team will do in the tournament. The chart below shows the odds of each team making it out of each round.
Currently the biggest favorite is
St. Cloud State with almost a 23% chance of winning the whole tournament. They are not only the number one seed in the
tournament, but also top ranked team based on
Elo,
USCHO, and PairWise.
The other teams with a greather than 10% chance of winning the tournament are
Minnesota State and
Minnesota-Duluth.
Combined the three Minnesota based teams have a 47% chance of winning the tournament.
The best chance of an opening round upset goes to
Harvard who has a 47% chance of beating Massachusetts. The Manchester regional is actually the closest group with
Clarkson given a 32% chance of advancing.
| First Round | Quarterfinals | Semifinals | Finals |
St. Cloud State | 79.27 | 54.21 | 35.89 | 22.90 |
Minnesota Duluth | 64.27 | 42.20 | 23.18 | 12.27 |
Minnesota State | 64.27 | 36.88 | 21.91 | 11.75 |
Clarkson | 54.59 | 31.68 | 15.10 | 7.87 |
Northeastern | 56.16 | 28.34 | 15.55 | 7.63 |
Denver | 54.16 | 21.64 | 10.71 | 5.04 |
Notre Dame | 45.41 | 24.29 | 10.52 | 5.01 |
Massachusetts | 53.16 | 24.18 | 10.02 | 4.58 |
Cornell | 43.84 | 19.47 | 9.51 | 4.10 |
Quinnipiac | 55.45 | 23.09 | 9.55 | 3.80 |
Harvard | 46.84 | 19.85 | 7.65 | 3.26 |
Ohio | 45.84 | 16.64 | 7.55 | 3.25 |
Bowling Green | 35.73 | 18.42 | 7.47 | 2.91 |
Providence | 35.73 | 15.31 | 6.92 | 2.74 |
Arizona State | 44.55 | 16.28 | 5.90 | 2.05 |
AIC | 20.73 | 7.50 | 2.55 | 0.82 |